For the second year in a row, Crawford experts offered their perspectives on the future of risk. From catastrophe and large & complex to medical management and cyber, our predictions are both visionary and rooted in experience. Here’s what’s in store for 2025.
Meredith Brogan, President-Network Solutions, Crawford & Company
"Emerging from a year marked by consecutive hurricanes hitting the same geographic area and extensive flooding in inland communities, there will be a heightened awareness of flood risks in 2025, spurring demands for changes in the P&C market. As property owners become more conscious of these dangers, there will be a greater reliance on predictive modeling and analytics to enhance preparedness and response capabilities.
"The adoption of AI models to forecast climate patterns and extreme weather events will grow more widespread in 2025. These models are becoming increasingly vital, especially after the 2024 storm season, in which hurricanes caused unexpected flooding in areas not previously identified as flood hazards. As these models become more accurate, not only will they offer a clearer understanding of current vulnerabilities, but they will also provide crucial data that can drive industry-wide advocacy for more reliable and detailed risk assessments. Homeowners, business owners, and the broader industry will benefit significantly from this advanced knowledge, enabling more effective mitigation strategies and better-informed decision-making across the insurance sector."
Nesha Courtney, Manager - Advocacy, Biopsychosocial, Disability, and Return to Work Services, Broadspire
"In 2025, we expect wearables, including smart helmets, sensors, and monitors, to play an increasingly influential role in workplace safety. This shift is driven by two key factors: firstly, employers are more actively recognizing the full impact of workplace injuries. They're seeing statistics such as the U.S. Government Accountability Office's 2022 report, which noted 700,000 nonfatal injuries and 2,000 fatal accidents in the warehousing, manufacturing, and construction industries alone. And secondly, employees are becoming more vocal about their desire to stay healthy and safe.
"Employers are acutely aware of the steep up-front costs associated with wearable devices, and until now, this has been a hindrance to adoption. However, they are increasingly willing to make the investment, recognizing the long-term benefits such as a decrease in injury-related expenses. The data generated from wearables enables companies to take proactive steps, such as positioning workers in ways that minimize injury risks. This strategic approach not only reduces the incidence of injuries but also offers employers a positive way to address workers' increasing demands for safety and well-being."
Paul Handy, Global Head of Cyber, Crawford & Company
"Despite the availability of low rates, easy access, and broad coverage, a key cyber insurance challenge for 2025 will be aligning supply with demand. The current emphasis on value-added services and embedded tools aimed at risk management may not fully resonate with customer preferences.
"There is a growing argument for the simplification of policy wordings, especially in the SME sector. Customers are likely to favor straightforward coverages and limits that are easy to understand and directly meet their needs. This includes having access to expert response and claims services. Specifically, the complexity of cyber insurance wordings and the associated uncertainties in recovery are seen as barriers that prevent a necessary increase in both value and demand. Simplifying these aspects could be crucial for sustaining the market and achieving the desired growth.
"We will also see a broadening of differentiation between solutions and products for the cyber markets in 2025, aligned to a greater understanding and approach to managing cyber risk. Almost all larger organizations now have business continuity arrangements that address cyber risk, but for the SME space, we will continue to see the development of managed risk solutions, as well as more ‘off the shelf’ or localized products with stricter terms and imposed response or claims models."
Suzanne Jordan, Medicare Compliance Director, Broadspire
"With CMS now actively monitoring for non-compliance with SCHIP Section 111 reporting and the October date that reporting penalties kick in rapidly approaching, employers will have a stronger need than ever to stay on top of the Medicare Compliance reporting process in 2025.
"Under new SCHIP Section 111 guidelines, a claim will be considered “late” if the Ongoing Responsibility for Medicals (ORM) or Total Payment Obligation to Claimant (TPOC) is reported a year or more after the initial reporting requirement. The penalties for late reporting have the potential to add up fast, and the maximum penalty cap of $521,220 will be a powerful incentive for Responsible Reporting Entities (RREs) to register and report any claims involving a Medicare beneficiary on the CMS website in a timely fashion.
"With proactive planning essential, many employers will institute mandatory training or look to Third Party Administrators (TPAs) to provide support for this complex and detailed compliance process. Automation will be a valuable tool for verifying if an injured worker is a Medicare beneficiary (both initially and over time to catch status changes) and tracking ongoing responsibility for medicals (ORM)."
Paul Kottler, U.S. President at Crawford Global Technical Service
The insurance industry faces mounting technology risks as it navigates the growing exposure to multiple platforms and aging legacy systems, and addressing these risks will take greater priority in the coming year. Each additional system and integration point introduces potential vulnerabilities, creating a complex web that can challenge data security, operational efficiency, and scalability – and this is the year that this web must be unraveled. To remain resilient, insurers must not only modernize but also adopt a long-term view and a proactive approach to managing the risks inherent in their technology infrastructure.
Sam Krishnamurthy, Chief Technology Officer, Turvi
"Domain-specific AI models and agentic experiences will take center stage in redefining claims process management in 2025, enabling hyper-automation and deeply personalized customer journeys. For insurers, this will mean faster, more accurate claims handling and better risk management, while policyholders will benefit from empathetic interactions, real-time updates, and quicker settlements that build trust and loyalty.
"In the call center, AI agents will increasingly handle calls through intent identification and workflow triaging. They will intake calls, triage, and assist callers with prompt resolutions, freeing up human agents to manage more intricate or high-stakes interactions. Co-pilot AI capabilities will provide an additional layer of support for human agents, offering next-best-action prompts, assisting in navigating unstructured data, tracking customer sentiment in real-time, and providing multi-linguistic language translation. This integrated approach will improve call handle time, reduce abandonment rates, and enhance first-call resolution.
"At the same time, fine-tuned Large Language Models (LLMs) will increasingly help claims professionals with complex claim coverage review. Fine-tuned GenAI models will swiftly interpret and summarize complex policy wordings to facilitate faster review and accelerate decision-making, reducing the risks of human errors and omissions, shortening the cycle time, and ensuring accurate reserve allocation to streamline claim audits and optimize resource use.
"Leaders who integrate efficiency, intelligence, and empathy into their products will differentiate and set new industry benchmarks, redefining transformative service experiences, and pioneering the space into 2025 and beyond."
Lance Malcolm, U.S. President - Contractor Connection
"As severe weather events intensify into 2025, rising damage claims will drive a continuing shift in mindset around building code compliance and structural fortification and resilience.
"For new construction, adhering to current codes is straightforward. The challenge lies with the existing inventory of buildings, especially those predating the more resilient codes of the early 2000s. These structures often fall short of today’s resilience standards and may struggle against future weather impacts. How do we fortify them to better withstand extreme weather? Additionally, some fortification concepts aren't yet part of official codes. Should they be? In the coming year, we can expect these questions to be tackled with increasing focus as the need for resilient construction becomes more urgent.
"We’ll see an increase in resilience principles embedded into rebuilds and retrofits, with various programs focused on fortifying the existing inventory of buildings that may lack needed characteristics. Efforts will likely include government initiatives and insurance solutions, playing a role. Building Code Upgrade Coverage, for example, can help policyholders cover the cost difference of rebuilding to current codes after a loss.
"With these funding options opening new avenues and opportunities for retrofitting and rebuilding, stronger, more weather-resistant structures are on the horizon for 2025 and beyond."
Greg Smith, President at Crawford & Company (Canada), Inc.
"Talent will remain a key area of focus for all stakeholders in the Canadian insurance industry in 2025 as we work to maintain high levels of engagement and retention amongst current employees while building out a strong employee value proposition that is appealing to the next generation of insurance talent. With many long-term investments made in previous years beginning to deliver returns, the Canadian market will serve as a strong model for digital recruitment success at the global level.
"In response to the challenge of talent scarcity impacting the industry, coordinated, sector-wide initiatives will play a key role. Efforts will increasingly focus on engaging candidates through tailored digital campaigns and influencer-driven social media outreach, designed to connect with individuals who are either new to Canada or entering the workforce for the first time. Job seekers in 2025 will benefit from more accessible and engaging information about the industry, delivered across a broader range of platforms. They’ll encounter intuitive microsites offering detailed insights into careers in insurance and relatable case studies presented in a storytelling format, illustrating successful career paths in insurance. This approach will make it easier for candidates to imagine themselves in the industry, as recruitment efforts align more closely with the digital spaces and content styles new market entrants trust and engage with.
"Once retained, new hires will increasingly join structured cohorts, moving away from the traditional, siloed training model. As a result, new talent will integrate more smoothly and feel a stronger sense of shared experience, contributing to a more collaborative and dynamic industry landscape."
Ken Tolson, CEO, Turvi
"The overall P&C industry is coming out of a period of surging bottom line performance in 2024. Both revenues and underwriting model performance have been improving for the most part across the industry, while spending has lagged, thus enhancing bottom line performance. This bodes well for investment appetite in the coming year, and technology spend that reflects differentiation through innovation and customer experience will garner a significant share of that investment.
"In 2025, policyholders will continue to expect their claims experiences to be as seamless as any other digital interactions they encounter. Additionally, claimants will anticipate that their insurance company will recognize them immediately, eliminating the need to repeat information or steps in the process. To meet these expectations, insurance companies will increasingly turn to AI to enhance the personalization of the claims experience. By automating and integrating data across different stages of the claims process, companies can create a more seamless workflow.
"The stakes are continually rising, and customer expectations are showing no signs of easing. Insurance companies must rise to this challenge to improve customer experiences and maintain competitiveness."
Rohit Verma, President & CEO, Crawford & Company
"There has certainly been a lot of industry talk about AI in recent years, but clarity about where to use it and confidence that it will deliver results have not been universal. This will shift in 2025 as several key factors come together to drive better adoption.
"The first factor spurring this change will be confidence in the safety and usability of the technology itself. Many industry AI use cases have been identified, but few companies have been ready to say conclusively where they want to invest. Concerns surrounding privacy risks and efficacy led to hesitation about implementing tools that felt a little too new. This will begin to shift in the next 12 months as the technology matures and organizations gain the confidence to implement AI tools that will simplify workflows.
"The second factor is that overall levels of uncertainty about the direction of the economy have diminished recently. With election cycles now completed, organizations will be ready to make decisions that may have felt risky in 2024, and as a result, we can expect to see an uptick in M&A deal volume—in the insurance space as well as across industries.
"Many companies are going to change hands in the coming year, and whenever that happens, we see changes at the executive level. This is the third factor that will drive AI adoption. As new executives come in and look to reimagine organizations, AI is one of the tools at their disposal, and this year’s new leaders will come into their roles with much more clarity on how they want to use it.
"The confluence of these things—the confidence in AI tools, the direction of the economy, and changes in leadership—will come together in 2025 to create the right catalyst for the industry to take action on AI adoption."
Greg Youngblood, Senior Vice President - Business Development, Crawford & Broadspire
"We expect the demand for captive insurance to increase in 2025, driven by a convergence of pressures in the commercial insurance marketplace that include rate hikes stemming from higher-than-expected loss ratios, tightening terms and conditions, increasing coverage gaps and the need to directly access the reinsurance market to obtain additional capacity. Also, companies forming a captive are interested in customizing their commercial insurance program to ultimately have a higher degree of decision-making authority. Already an increasingly popular strategic risk management solution (captives today account for approximately a quarter of all commercial premium globally), captives will become a viable alternative for many organizations that may not previously have considered them.
"The claims sector will experience notable ripple effects from this evolution, particularly when it comes to third-party claims administrators (TPAs), who are often relied upon to manage the lines of business underwritten by captives. The rising demand is expected to create an increasingly competitive marketplace for TPAs, where success will depend more and more on their ability to tailor services to the unique needs of captives. TPAs will need to demonstrate expertise in specialized claims handling, provide customizable reporting solutions, and offer transparent data management to align with captives’ operational goals.
"Captives, which often emphasize cost control and efficiency, may favor TPAs that can provide innovative claims processing technology and cost-effective solutions without sacrificing any quality. To win and retain their business, TPAs will need to adopt a thoughtful go-to-market strategy that not only creates preference with captives but also anticipates their evolving needs in a dynamic insurance environment. Strategic partnerships and the ability to offer value-added services will be key differentiators."
